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Enterprise Analysis

The Danger of Unknown Unknowns When Procuring Solutions

Question Mark in front of faceWhen an organisation needs a specialist skill, product or service, it may be more effective to look outside of its organisational boundaries. Perhaps a company needs a special IT application, a training course, or perhaps it is looking to outsource an ancillary function. In these situations, it is common practice to “go out to tender” issuing a tender document such as an Invitation to Tender (ITT), Request for Information (RFI) or Request for Proposal (RFP). These documents typically provide an outline of the organisation’s requirements, a list of structured questions, and provide instructions on how the supplier should respond. Responses might be invited from vendors, Managed Service Providers (MSPs) or other types of specialist provider.

 

These tender processes enable an organisation to compare and contrast a short-list of suppliers, and enable them to assess which is most likely to suit their needs. Often a formal scoring process is used to weigh up the pros and cons of each supplier (for more information on a weighting and scoring approach you can download a white paper I wrote on the subject). The RFI/RFP will be followed by meetings and product demonstrations where the scoring can be tweaked and finalised. This is a very sensible approach, and helps to remove any unintentional biases that may emerge. It can be very easy to inadvertently favour the product that has the salesperson with whom you have warmed to the most, or with whom you’ve built best rapport — and a more formal process reduces the likelihood of this happening.

 

Whilst these formal processes are extremely useful, there is a common pitfall waiting. Fundamentally, this type of structured tender process assumes that the client knows enough about their requirements — and the likely solutions — to ask the right questions. In many cases, the client will be extremely well informed, particularly if the RFI and RFP have been prepared by a professional business analyst. To borrow an expression from Donald Rumsfeld, but what if there is an “unknown unknown”, a piece of information that the client needs, that they don’t yet know they need?

 

This probably sounds cryptic, so let me give you an example. A few years ago, I wanted to replace my car. I have never particularly enjoyed driving, and I’ve always driven boring (but economical) cars. I was looking on a used car website, and I found one that I wanted to look at. I started to formulate a list of questions I should ask and things I should look for when I took it for a test drive. I was discussing this list with a friend, who gave me a piece of advice:

Pursuing Business Value

Business people chasing moneyIn many business contexts, the word ‘value’ is an important mantra. When running a business, it’s important that we create a product that the customer values. If we’re a publically listed company, we may need to ensure that the business creates sufficient shareholder value. If we’re running a business change project, it’s important that we consider the business and customer value that our implemented project will bring. The word value has become widely used – in fact it has become so widely used that there is a real danger that different stakeholders might have different interpretations over what ‘value’ really means. In reality, value isn’t always a straightforward metric to measure, and there are often several competing dynamics.

 

Let’s take an example: Imagine we’re running a project that will involve changes to our organisational processes and also the implementation of a new IT system. For the IT implementation, there may be several options—firstly there is the decision to build a solution in-house or buy a solution off-the-shelf. Then there is the decision over whether to host the solution on premise or in the cloud, whether to maintain the solution ourselves or outsource to a managed service provider (MSP) and so forth. We might even have the option of subscribing to a software-as-a-service or existing cloud based solution. Throw in a short list of three or four vendors into the mix and there are a baffling range of options.

 

Conventional business theory would encourage us to choose the option that creates most value for our business and customers. This is undoubtedly good advice, yet to adhere to it we need to analyse what value we are aiming to obtain. Saying “let’s go for the option that generates highest value” is easy. But how do we know what that means?

 

Value isn’t just about finances

Oscar Wilde famously wrote:

 

“[Nowadays people] know the price of everything and the value of nothing”

Outsourcing Doesn’t Have to be a Dirty Word

Person giving presentation at flip chartSay the word “outsourcing” in many organisations, and you’ll be met with a frosty reception. People will recount tales of how huge chunks of their company were laid off or sold off, and will talk about how things have never quite been the same since. They’ll talk about how it used to be possible to respond to changing customer demands quickly and swiftly, but now implementing any change takes forever because there is a rigid and inflexible contract in place with an external partner… and they may well argue the case for bringing the outsourced capability back in house.

 

In fact, in some organisations the word “outsourcing” has become a dirty word. Saying it creates controversy, and can even create ill feeling. There is no doubt that some companies have entered into ineffective outsourcing arrangements—perhaps they have chosen the wrong partner, outsourced a capability that was better serviced in house, or perhaps the relationship went sour.  However, it’s important not to discount an entire solution approach, and in the ever-changing business environment that we live in, strategically outsourcing activities to carefully selected partners or Managed Service Providers (MSPs) can yield significant benefits. Whilst there are undoubtedly examples of outsourcing going wrong, where it is implemented well can be very beneficial indeed. It can help organisations to smooth demand, to expand into new areas quickly, and to secure expertise that they don’t want to (or can’t afford to) employ in house.

 

I’ll tell you what led me to write this article. Just the other day I realised that my car is overdue its annual service, and I was trying to figure out which garage to take it to. I was discussing this with a good friend of mine who knows a lot about cars, and he offered me some useful advice:

 

  “Adrian, your car getting old. It’s important that you service it but the service history won’t add to its resale value any more. Why don’t you do a basic service yourself?”

Turbulence and Data

airplane seatbeltI want to let you in on a secret. One that I haven’t (up until now) told many people. Although I travel a lot with my work, I have never liked flying. Until a few years ago, I had an irrational fear of flying—to the point where I had a rather embarrassing ‘panic attack’ at an airport around 12 years ago—it really was quite spectacular for any onlookers! Although I’m now less scared of flying, I still absolutely hate turbulence.  (And, incidentally, isn’t it ironic that the turbulence always seems to kick-in when the coffee is being served?)

 

I was travelling on a long-haul flight very recently, and was passing the time by doing what I like to call the ‘economy shuffle’.  Perhaps you’ve done it yourself—it’s where you try to balance a laptop on the tray table, whilst sipping a coffee and eating a bagel—all without spilling anything, without nudging another passenger and trying to maintain some level of professional dignity in the process.  It should be an Olympic sport—and it’s one that I would fail at spectacularly!

 

As I bit down into my breakfast bagel, I noticed a gentle beep of the fasten-seatbelt-sign coming on. The Captain came over the speakers:

 

“Just a quick update on our flight today. We’re making great progress, with a strong tailwind—however, we’re scheduled to hit some bumpy air very soon.  We’re expecting it’ll be pretty rough, and we’re hitting it right where we expected to, so you’ll notice we’ve illuminated the ‘fasten seatbelts’ sign. We should be through it within 30 to 45 minutes, but we’ll keep you posted. Please return to your seats, and fasten your seatbelts with your tray tables folded and the armrests down.”

 

As ever in these situations, the Captain sounded calm—and the Cabin Crew went about their business checking that everything was in order. I shuffled my laptop back into my hand luggage, chugged down the remnants of my coffee and tried to relax. And boy was it a choppy flight — probably amongst the worst turbulence I’ve ever encountered — but I took some comfort in knowing it would only last for 45 minutes.

 

The plane landed safely a few hours later, and in the airport it dawned on me that I wasn’t scared, worried or panicked during the turbulence at all, which was great. I started to pull this idea apart and analyse it (well, I am a business analyst after all…). Why didn’t the turbulence bother me on this flight? Was it the whisky I’d had at the airport to calm my nerves? Whilst that might have been a contributing factor, on reflection I concluded that it all seemed more bearable because the Captain had warned us in advance and had given us the likely duration of the discomfort. I also presume he’d steered a course to minimise the turbulence, within the constraints of his flight path. The Captain had read the external environment well from his instruments, prepared his stakeholders (including passengers), and we’d all had a much better ride as a result.

 

As I wandered around the destination airport in a tired and jet-lagged state, it struck me how this pattern applies to business too. A crisis can be averted if it is predicted and carefully communicated and the right corrective manoeuvres are adopted. This relies on regular monitoring of the external business environment. Strategic environment analysis is a critical part of business analysis and should be considered an activity that is ‘business as usual’. External techniques like PESTLE or Porter’s 5-forces can be useful techniques. As businesses get more and more sophisticated and collect and collate more data and information, asking the question “How can we generate potential insight and testable hypotheses from our organisational data” becomes extremely important.  Let’s face it, lack of data is rarely the problem, lack of analysis and actionable insight can be.

 

What this means for business and business analysis

Organisational Agility

Man looking at conflicting arrows on chalk boardRead any book, article or blog about implementing change in organisations, and you’re sure to come across the term agile. Particularly in the software development world, rightly or wrongly, agile and evolutionary techniques are seen as the antidote to some of the often cited problems with more linear waterfall techniques. A well-executed agile project provides the opportunity to deliver business value sooner, by focussing on the most critical set of features and functions first, then adding to them incrementally. An experienced agile team often works like a well-oiled machine, gaining momentum and getting into the rhythm of delivery.

 

Clearly, both types of methodology have pros and cons, and discussing these in detail is beyond the scope of this blog article—but sufficient to say that as practitioners we add value by ensuring the right approach is taken in any given scenario.

 

Yet a challenge we face is what I like to call the ‘buzzwordification’ of agile. The term has become diluted, and worse still, it has significantly different meanings to different people. Our stakeholders may mistake agile (as a project or software delivery lifecycle) with organisational agility. This can lead to some unexpected outcomes, none of which are the fault of the agile team itself.

Cars parked

Do You Know Where The Problem Is?

Cars parkedIf you’re ever in the UK city of Portsmouth and you want to hear an impassioned debate, ask some local residents about car parking.  You’ll be sure to stir up a variety of opinions and ideas.  After you ask the question though, I’d recommend standing back… it’s a very divisive topic!

 

It may help if I explain the context.  Portsmouth is a crowded island city.  It’s heavily populated and surrounded by the sea, only connected to the mainland by road bridges.  This creates an interesting dilemma — the capacity to build anything on the island is limited.  There is only so much land, and short of building underground or on the sea, that capacity is finite.  This creates a real problem when it comes to parking.  The vast majority of houses on the island were built in the 1800s and early 1900s – long before anyone needed to think about driveways or garages.  So parking space is at a real premium, with most residents needing to park their cars on the street.

 

The trouble is that demand outstrips capacity.  There are many more people who want to park on the streets than there are available parking spaces.  This has led to the local council trying various tactics to control parking – from creating (and then suspending) residents-only parking schemes right through to creating a ‘park and ride’ scheme.

 

Time and experience has shown that there is no silver bullet to Portsmouth’s parking problem.  Every intervention that the council makes will inevitably have some affect and some impact – but the impacts that are positive for some stakeholder groups are negative for others.  Often, a problem that is solved in one area creates a brand new problem elsewhere.  This leads to the council being in a perpetual state of confused oscillation: Creating new parking zones, then suspending them, in a desperate attempt to find something that works.

 

The city is a system: The solution isn’t always near the problem. 

In reality, parking problems might be solved with seemingly unrelated solutions.  The city of Portsmouth is a complex system with interwoven dependencies that are difficult for the eye to see.  To solve a parking problem, you have to analyse and crunch the data of the entire holistic system. This requires collaboration and analysis across departments, organisations and areas.  Take the following examples:

 

  • Portsmouth has a large university and a transient student population, who often share houses. This means a house may have 4 or 5 cars, and those cars might only be used occasionally.  So perhaps offering a car-sharing scheme for students, which saves them money whilst still enabling them to use a car might help.
  • There is a trend towards converting older properties into apartments; each apartment owner will probably own a car. So perhaps the town planning regulations should change to control this or at least ensure adequate parking is built on redevelopments (or that the developments are in areas that are sufficiently close to public transport)
  • There are areas of Portsmouth that it is difficult to get to on public transport. By understanding and improving this, the need to own a car may be reduced.
  • Since on-street parking is free, there isn’t a disincentive to park. So perhaps there is an argument for some kind of affordable parking for a guaranteed space

 

The examples above just skim the surface – but the key point is that in order to solve a parking problem, it would be necessary to think in a much broader way.  It would be necessary to examine wider data sets too.  A solution may involve not just the parking department, but also the town planners and maybe even the local university.  It’s important to understand what is driving demand and the complex network of interrelated factors that are causing the problem.  A combination of seemingly unrelated interventions may create a far better outcome than an “obvious” knee-jerk reaction.

 

What this means for business and business analysis 

People waiting in an airport

Do You Know How Many Customers You’re Throwing Away?

People waiting in an airportI was recently travelling home after a business trip and I checked in to a very small regional airport.  It was around 6:30 p.m. and I had over an hour to kill so I visited the airport’s only café to buy some food.  The café appeared to be part of a regional mid-sized chain, and they had a standard range of food, so I knew exactly what I could expect.  I looked through the menu, made my choice, and went to the counter to order.

 

I gave my order to the cashier who looked a little embarrassed and immediately apologised:

Interview: Change Alchemy, Changing Mindsets & Organisational Diseases with with John Hackett

John Hackett of Franklin-Hackett (Organisational Change Alchemists)In today’s blog post, we break from our usual format to bring you an interview with John Hackett of Franklin-Hackett. I first met John at a business analysis conference a year or so ago, and I’ve really enjoyed hearing about his innovative approaches and reading his blog.  I recently caught up with John for a ‘virtual’ chat, and John shared some really interesting insight:


 

So, John, you engage in a rather intriguing discipline that you describe as “Organisational Change Alchemy”.   Can you tell us a bit more about what this involves?

 

Well firstly, thanks for inviting me to contribute to your fantastic blog, Adrian!

 

Perhaps the best way to answer that question is to talk about how change in organisations has been carried out historically.

 

Organisations tend to think of change in a very structured way, which means they usually try to implement it in the form of a time-limited, specific and managed approach. Hence why we have “change projects”. It’s an attempt to implement change in a controlled way.

 

This situation exists because the dominant mindset within organisations states that change is a short term phenomenon that has to be planned and structured in order to avoid disruption and reduce “risk”. It treats change as something that comes in, does stuff and then goes away again.

 

So traditional change methodologies accommodate this mindset by being heavily structured and focusing purely on specific areas such as business processes or purely on IT.

 

The problem is that in reality, change is actually a constant and emergent phenomenon. It is also complex, in that there are multiple elements that work together to create a situation, all of which have to be considered when implementing change. The structured approach of traditional change interventions is at odds with the emergent nature of change. The tendency towards a narrow focus when implementing change means that many traditional change interventions fail to address all elements and result in poorly embedded outcomes.

Forced Business Cases and the danger of faulty thinking

Picture of man at junction with mapThe humble old “business case” gets a very bad reputation in some organisations.  A good and well written business case is a crucial document that helps organisations and teams decide which projects to progress with and even which products to launch.  In many ways, a business case is a mini business plan, showing the costs, benefits, risks and impacts of adopting a proposed course of action.  It shows the reasons for the recommendation, and it shows the options considered.  Depending on the organisation it might be written at different levels of formality—in many ways the underlying thinking and analysis is more important than the document itself.  The business case draws on insight and data from within the organisation, and a good business case will draw on the organisations analytical capabilities.

 

Overall, the business case protects those making an investment in a particular project or product launch and ensures that they go into the endeavour with their eyes wide open.  It ultimately contributes towards protecting the interests of the organisation’s owners – who may as well be shareholders.

 

On the face of it, the creation of a business case sounds logical, and it sounds like a perfectly natural thing to do.  I mean why would anyone object to knowing the costs and benefits of a proposed course of action?  Yet I suspect many people reading this—from organisations of all sizes whether multinational or midsize— will have experienced situations where there was a desire to “fudge” the business case.  Perhaps you were asked to selectively ignore some data, or put a particular spin on things to “force” a particular course of action.

 

There, I’ve said the unthinkable.   Call me a heretic!  However, in reality, business cases get fudged.   And this isn’t always deliberate—sometimes business cases are unconsciously misinterpreted or misrepresented and this faulty thinking leads to organisations unknowingly taking bad decisions with complete confidence.  They might even end up with a “turkey project” that should have been culled at the outset.

 

Warning signs for a faulty business case

The world needs more U-Turns

Motorist with mapI hazard a guess that many people reading this article will own a GPS satellite navigation system (“GPS” or “Sat-Nav“) – I know I certainly do.  I’ve always been very bad at both navigating and driving at the same time, so when driving in an unfamiliar city, I find a GPS sat-nav absolutely indispensable.  Of course, it won’t always navigate to the precise location desired, but it gets very close.

 

I was recently driving around Birmingham, which is a city I visit only very occasionally, and even with automated directions, I managed to drive right past a turning.  My sat-nav (GPS) registered my mistake immediately, and made an announcement that all drivers dread….

 

  “Make a U Turn where possible”

 

With the help of this announcement I quickly realised my mistake, found a safe place to turn, and then I was quickly back on my way.

 

As I was doing this, it struck me how in business the word “U-Turn” seems to have a uniquely negative connotation.  If leaders of organisations or projects make a “U-Turn” this can be seen as embarrassing; it is painted out as a lack of conviction or lack of leadership.  This has an interesting side effect: It can lead to stakeholders stubbornly entrenching themselves into illogical or unsustainable positions, because to be seen to change their view could be a political and organisational nightmare—and this might be seriously career limiting! This pattern happens in organisations of all sizes; whether mid-size, small or multinational.

 

U-Turns aren’t inherently bad